AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 19:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.53 %

Entry

110.544

Target

109.957 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.023 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, Trendline Break Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.17
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.73
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.02
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 1H timeframe with multiple signals aligning.
Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, but choppy, so expect potential sideways movement.
Watch the 111.02300 resistance; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
Support at 109.95700 is the immediate downside objective.

The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by the EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, indicating that the pair is pulling back from its long-term moving averages. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the MACD Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up suggest a short-term bounce that may be fading, as the WILLR OB Exit points to overbought conditions unwinding. The confluence of indicator, trendline, and candlestick signals points to a strong bearish bias on the 1H timeframe, with a probability of 75%.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from 1H up to 1D, though the choppy/sideways nature on the 4H and above suggests a lack of strong momentum. The 15m and 30m are still bullish, but with low trend scores (2/5 and 1/5), indicating a counter-trend bounce that is likely to be capped. The nearest resistance at 111.02300 is a critical ceiling; as long as price stays below it, the bearish setup remains valid. The nearest support at 109.95700 is the key downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline Break Down combined with EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down confirms bearish momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down add weight to selling pressure.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ WILLR OB Exit suggests overbought conditions are being resolved, favoring downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term bullish trend on 15m and 30m could trigger a bounce that stalls the sell-off.
▲ MACD and STOCH are crossing up, indicating a possible short-term bounce that might delay the move.
▲ If price breaks above 111.02300, the bearish signal is invalidated and a reversal could occur.
▲ Choppy/sideways readings on higher timeframes may lead to range-bound behavior rather than a strong trend.