BTC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 16:00 UTC 14 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %

Entry

77,453.86

Target

76,325.98 +1.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −5.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.19 % per trade 1,065 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,065 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +3.96 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.23 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 21 % at stop avg −5.28 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DX Trend Weak, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.2 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 33 % (8.97) ▼ Bearish 67 % (18.59)

model score 67.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 12h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 14h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	2.00
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.84
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▼	MCGD Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.49
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.23
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.99
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 8H signal is bearish, driven by a mix of momentum and trend indicators, but the trend strength is weak (DX Trend Weak).
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) align bearish, but shorter timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are bullish, creating a mixed picture.
Watch the nearest support at 76325.98 and resistance at 81971; a break below support confirms the bearish bias, while a move above resistance invalidates it.
The probability is 67% with moderate strength, so the signal is not extremely high-conviction.

The 8H SELL signal for BTC/USDT is driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators, including AROON Cross Up, AROONOSC Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Weak, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down, alongside additional signals from the indicator and candlestick groups. This mix suggests that while short-term momentum has shown brief upward attempts (AROON Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up), the broader momentum and volume flow remain bearish, as indicated by BOP Zero Cross Down and the negative ROC and MOM crosses. The DX Trend Weak signal indicates that the current trend lacks strong directional strength, which adds a layer of caution to the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing bearish trends, though only at a 'trend forming' strength (2/5). The 4H also aligns bearishly, while the 15M is bearish with a solid trend (3/5). However, the 30M, 1H, and 2H timeframes are bullish, which creates a mixed picture and suggests that the bearish signal may face near-term resistance from these shorter-term bullish moves. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 81971 and support at 76325.98. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) are crossing down, confirming bearish momentum.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is dominating volume flow.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, providing alignment for the sell signal.
▼ The 15M timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, adding near-term confirmation.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce that undermines the bearish signal.
▲ DX Trend Weak indicates the trend lacks strength, so the bearish move may lack follow-through.
▲ The nearest resistance at 81971 is relatively close; a break above it would invalidate the signal.
▲ The mixed trend across timeframes suggests potential chop, and the signal could fade if momentum stalls.