EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-11-03 18:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.42 %

Entry

1.11901

Target

1.11365 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12371 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,019 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,019 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 761 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

10:00TodayEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 1h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.97
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.32
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum signals fired on the 2H chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish, with the daily trend very strong, supporting the sell signal.
Intraday trends (15m-8H) are bullish or choppy, creating a conflict that may limit downside follow-through.
Key levels: resistance at 1.12371, support at 1.11365; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.

The EUR/USD 2H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, and BBANDS middle-line cross-downs, along with DEMA and EMA 200 retreats. This broad-based selling pressure suggests a coordinated shift in short-term momentum, which is reinforced by the "very strong" signal strength and 100% probability. However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed: the 12H and 1D trends are bearish, with the daily trend rated as very strong, but all intraday timeframes from 15m to 8H are currently bullish or choppy, albeit with weak trend scores. This divergence implies that the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move against the immediate bullish bias, but the alignment with the larger bearish structure on the daily chart adds weight to the sell signal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12371 and support at 1.11365. A sustained break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the path toward lower levels, while a bounce from support could indicate a false breakdown. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators turning down simultaneously suggests that the sell signal is robust, but the conflicting intraday bullish trends warrant caution. Traders should watch for price action around these levels to gauge whether the bearish momentum can overcome the shorter-term bullish pressure.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously, indicating strong bearish momentum.
▼ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA 200) confirm the bearish direction.
▼ Daily timeframe trend is very strong and bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with 100% probability, reflecting high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Intraday timeframes (15m-8H) are bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce and invalidate the sell signal.
▲ The nearest support at 1.11365 may hold, causing a false breakdown and reversal.
▲ The 2H trend itself is bullish, so the bearish signal may be a temporary pullback within an uptrend.
▲ Watch for a close above the nearest resistance at 1.12371, which would invalidate the bearish setup.