AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 08:30 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.19 %

Entry

110.807

Target

111.020 +0.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.957 −0.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout, ALMA Break Up, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout +15 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout	indicator	3.00
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.65
▲	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout	indicator	2.64
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.53
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.43
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.19
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.12
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.08
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.07
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.06
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	2.03
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.00
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.19
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart is strong, backed by multiple moving-average retracements and an EMA 200 break up.
The bounce is happening within a larger bearish trend on higher timeframes, so treat it as a counter-trend move.
Key levels: support at 109.95700, resistance at 110.84400; a break above resistance could shift the bias.
Invalidation is a close below 109.95700; watch for a stall at resistance if higher-timeframe bearish pressure persists.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a strong ADXR trend reading and a suite of moving-average retracement setups (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all turning upward. The EMA 200 break up and the stochastic KD cross up add momentum confirmation, while the higher-timeframe trendline retreat up on the HTF suggests a pullback within a larger bullish structure is finding buyers. The confluence of indicator, Fibonacci, and candlestick groups points to a coordinated bounce off support, with the nearest support at 109.95700 acting as the immediate floor. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show bullish alignment, but the trend is still forming on the 1-hour, and the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish and choppy, which caps the upside potential and warrants caution.

For traders, the immediate focus is on the 110.84400 resistance level; a sustained break above that would signal a shift in the higher-timeframe bias. Until then, this is a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend, so position sizing should reflect the lower-probability context. The strong signal probability (98%) is based on the 30-minute setup, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trend scores mean the move could stall at resistance. Watch the 109.95700 support as the invalidation zone—if price closes back below that, the bullish thesis is voided.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retracement signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all turning up on the same timeframe, showing strong confluence.
▲ ADXR trend strength is high, indicating a strong directional move on the 30-minute chart.
▲ EMA 200 break up and stochastic KD cross up add momentum and trend-following confirmation.
▲ Higher-timeframe trendline retreat up suggests the pullback is finding support within a larger bullish structure.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish and choppy, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
▼ The 1-hour trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bullish momentum may not have enough traction to break resistance.
▼ Nearest resistance at 110.84400 is a major hurdle; a failure to break above could trigger a sell-off.
▼ If price closes below 109.95700 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.