AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
17 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
109.811
Target
109.600 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.721 −0.83 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, ALMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping
▲ Bullish 8 % (3.75) ▼ Bearish 92 % (46.17)
model score 92.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 21h
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 21h
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.88
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.60
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.58
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.43
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.37
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.36
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.31
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 2.02
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.89
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.73
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.22
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.12
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 0.91

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple moving-average and trendline signals.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy—treat as a counter-trend move.
  • Resistance at 110.72100 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • No nearby support means downside could extend, but manage risk given the sideways higher-timeframe context.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a STOCH KD Cross Down and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA), alongside a trendline retreat down and a MAMA price break down. This confluence of indicator and candlestick signals points to a strong, broad-based selling pressure. The trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes, from 15-minute to daily, though the higher timeframes (4H and above) are still choppy/sideways, indicating that the current move is likely a counter-trend pullback within a larger range rather than the start of a major downtrend.

With the nearest resistance at 110.72100 and no defined support below, the pair has room to move lower, but the lack of a clear support level means the downside could be open-ended. The very strong strength score of 92% and the alignment of multiple indicators reinforce the bearish case, but traders should be cautious of the choppy higher-timeframe conditions, which could lead to whipsaws. Key levels to watch are the 110.72100 resistance as a potential invalidation point and any signs of momentum exhaustion on the 15-minute chart.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicator signals (STOCH, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) all aligned in the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Trendline retreat down and MAMA price break down add to the bearish confluence.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if higher timeframes are choppy.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (92%) suggests high conviction in the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit the follow-through.
  • ▲ A break above the 110.72100 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the lower timeframe nature of the signal.
  • ▲ No clear support below means the move could be sharp but also prone to reversal without a defined target.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.72100 2026-11-03
R2 110.84400 2026-11-02
R3 110.93000 2026-11-02

Tags

Similar Signals