USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-04 02:00 UTC 12 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

157.702

Target

158.768 +0.68 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +28% Scalping

▲ Bullish 73 % (12.79) ▼ Bearish 27 % (4.72)

model score 73.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 698 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 10h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 10h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.25
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.03
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.17
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.13
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple signals align for a short-term bullish bounce in USD/JPY on the 30-minute chart.
The bounce is counter-trend: lower timeframes are bearish, so upside may be limited.
Watch resistance at 158.768 and support at 157.634 for breakout or invalidation.
Momentum indicators (APO, BOP, CMO, STOCHF) all point to a reversal from oversold conditions.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is a BUY with a 73% probability, driven by a cluster of technical events. The APO Zero Cross Down and BOP Zero Cross Up suggest a shift in momentum and buying pressure, while the CMO OS Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate oversold conditions are reversing. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) adds a bullish structural element, and the Bullish Harami and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns reinforce the case for a bounce. However, the broader trend is predominantly bearish across the 15m to 4h timeframes, with only the 8h and higher charts showing bullish but choppy conditions. This suggests the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, and the moderate strength reflects that tension.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.768 and support at 157.634. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup. The confluence of multiple signal types (indicator, Fibonacci, candlestick) adds weight, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution. Traders should monitor whether the bounce can sustain momentum and clear the resistance level, as failure to do so may see price resume the dominant downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of indicator signals: APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, and STOCHF KD Cross Up all support a bullish reversal.
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%) provides a structural bullish level within the pullback.
▲ Bullish Harami and Inverted Hammer candlestick patterns confirm buyer interest at current levels.
▲ Oversold conditions (CMO OS Exit) suggest selling pressure may be exhausted, inviting a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend on 15m to 4h timeframes could overpower the counter-trend bounce.
▼ Failure to break above resistance at 158.768 would leave the bullish setup incomplete and could lead to renewed selling.
▼ A drop below support at 157.634 would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
▼ The 1h trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be strong enough to sustain a rally.