AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 07:30 UTC 20 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.39 %

Entry

0.69938

Target

0.70213 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69617 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Falling Wedge, ZLMA Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Falling Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.78
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.54
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.20
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on the 30m chart with multiple technical confirmations.
Lower timeframes trend bullish, but higher timeframes are bearish—watch for resistance.
Key resistance at 0.69977; a break above could extend gains.
Support at 0.69617 is the invalidation level for this bullish setup.

The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 94% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of a Falling Wedge breakout, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA), and a bullish trendline retreat indicates strong upward momentum. The Stochastic KD cross down is a short-term pullback signal, but within the context of the broader bullish setup, it likely represents a healthy retracement before continuation. The trend across lower timeframes (15m to 2h) is bullish, with the 2h showing a solid trend (3/5), supporting the immediate upside.

However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which creates a conflicting backdrop. The nearest resistance at 0.69977 is a critical level; a break above it could open the door for further gains, but failure to do so may see the pair retreat to support at 0.69617. Traders should watch for a sustained move above resistance to confirm the bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Falling Wedge breakout, a classic bullish reversal pattern.
▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) signal strong buying pressure.
▲ Trendline retreat up on the higher timeframe adds confluence.
▲ Bullish alignment across 15m to 2h timeframes supports momentum.

Risk Factors