BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 07:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.94 %

Entry

78,140.00

Target

76,388.88 +2.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

78,878.01 −0.94 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,595 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,595 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, HMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 2h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.70
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.12
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.00
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30m chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the weak strength and mixed higher timeframe trends warrant caution.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 78,878 and support at 76,389; a break of support would confirm the bearish signal.
The presence of bullish signals (HT Phasor, HT Sine, Ichimoku TK) alongside the bearish ones indicates conflicting momentum.
The 1h and lower timeframes are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a temporary dip rather than a trend reversal.

The 30-minute BTC/USDT signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of bearish indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross, and HMA Retreat Down. These signals suggest weakening buying pressure and a shift in short-term momentum. However, the signal's strength is weak (61% probability), and the higher timeframes are mixed: while the 15m, 30m, and 1h are bullish, the 2h and above are bearish. This creates a conflicting picture, with the short-term trend still attempting to push higher but the broader trend favoring downside. The key levels to watch are resistance at 78,878 and support at 76,389. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a move above resistance would invalidate it.

The presence of HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HT SINE Cross Up, and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up adds nuance—these are typically bullish signals, suggesting some underlying upward pressure. This mixed signal set indicates the market is at a decision point. The alignment of the bearish signals on the 30m timeframe is notable, but the weak strength and conflicting higher timeframe trends argue for caution. Traders should watch the price action around the support and resistance levels, and consider that the 1h bullish trend may provide a counterbalance. The signal is best viewed as a potential short-term pullback within a broader bullish correction, rather than a strong reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators firing together (BOP, Stochastic, SMA Death Cross, HMA) on the 30m timeframe.
▼ The 2h and higher timeframes are bearish, aligning with the sell signal on a broader scale.
▼ The signal is occurring at a potential resistance zone, with nearest resistance at 78,878.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1h and lower timeframes are bullish, which could override the short-term bearish signal.
▲ The presence of bullish HT Phasor, HT Sine, and Ichimoku TK crosses suggests upward momentum may persist.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 78,878, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The signal's weak strength (61%) indicates a higher chance of failure.