USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 08:00 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.08 %

Entry

158.227

Target

158.768 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.752 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up, CTI OS Exit +11 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.70
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	2.23
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.89
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.41
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▲	Tweezers Bottom	candlestick	1.06
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish breakout on 1H with strong momentum confluence across multiple indicators.
Key resistance at 158.76800; a break above could extend the move, while rejection may lead to a pullback.
Support at 157.75200 is the immediate invalidation level for the bullish bias.
Higher timeframe trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside potential.
Strong signal strength (92%) but mixed higher timeframe alignment warrants caution.

The USD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, with supporting momentum from CMO and RSI Midline Cross Ups, plus a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up. The EMA 200 and MIDPRICE Retreat Up signals indicate that price is pulling back to key dynamic supports and resuming the broader uptrend. This convergence of trendline, momentum, and indicator signals on the 1H timeframe suggests a strong bullish impulse is underway, with the nearest resistance at 158.76800 and support at 157.75200 defining the immediate trading range.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed: while the 15m and 30m are bullish, the 1H through 8H are bearish and choppy, and the 12H and 1D are bullish but choppy. This divergence means the bullish signal on the 1H is primarily a counter-trend move against the medium-term bearish bias. The very strong signal strength and high probability (92%) suggest the immediate momentum is robust, but traders should watch for rejection at the 158.76800 resistance, which could invalidate the bullish setup if the price fails to break through.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up confirm bullish momentum shift.
▲ RSI and CMO Midline Cross Ups indicate improving buying pressure.
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up and MIDPRICE Retreat Up show price holding above dynamic supports.
▲ Multiple signal groups (candlestick, trendline, indicator) align on the 1H timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H-8H) are bearish, which could cap upside and lead to reversal.
▼ Resistance at 158.76800 is a nearby barrier; failure to break could trigger a pullback.
▼ Momentum may fade if the price cannot sustain above the 1H EMA 200.
▼ Invalidation if price breaks below support at 157.75200, negating the bullish setup.