USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 02:30 UTC 16 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

157.700

Target

156.962 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.768 −0.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Channel, Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Scalping

▲ Bullish 2 % (1.04) ▼ Bearish 98 % (44.11)

model score 97.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 10h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Ascending Channelbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.37
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.54
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.04

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart points to continued downside pressure.
Near-term momentum is strongly bearish, but higher timeframes are still mixed—this is a counter-trend move.
Key level to watch: support at 157.63400; resistance at 158.76800.
A break below support could extend the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and an Ascending Channel breakdown. This is reinforced by a wave of momentum retreat signals (BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus additional candlestick and indicator confirmations. The confluence across trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick groups gives the setup a very strong probability reading (97%), suggesting broad agreement that downside momentum is building.

Across timeframes, the bias is firmly bearish in the near term: 15m and 30m trends are solidly bearish, with the 1h just starting to turn. However, higher timeframes (2h, 4h) are still choppy/sideways, and the 8h and above remain bullish—so this is a counter-trend move against the larger daily structure. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 157.63400, while any bounce would face resistance at 158.76800. Traders should treat this as a short-term bearish opportunity within a broader range, not a full reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple timeframe alignment: 15m and 30m are bearish, with 1h turning bearish.
▼ Confluence of signals across trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick groups.
▼ Very strong trend score (97%) and high signal strength.
▼ Breakdown of the Ascending Channel and Trendline Break Down confirm a shift in structure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h and above) remain bullish, so this could be a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ The 2h and 4h are choppy/sideways, which may limit follow-through.
▲ A move back above the broken trendline or resistance at 158.76800 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum could fade if price stalls near support without a clean break.