XRP/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 05:00 UTC 16 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.56 %

Entry

1.2698

Target

1.2453 +1.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.2883 −1.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,153 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,153 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, TRIMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % – first candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 37 % (9.98) ▼ Bearish 63 % (17.31)

model score 63.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for XRP/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 7h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 9h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 05:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.12
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.92
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Sell signal is weak (63%) with conflicting momentum crosses, so treat it as low-conviction.
Bearish trends dominate on 30m, 1h, 2h, and 12h, but 15m and 8h are bullish.
Key levels: resistance 1.28830, support 1.24530; a break of support confirms downside.
Watch for a bounce toward resistance given recent upward momentum crosses.

The 30-minute SELL signal on XRP/USDT is a mixed bag: a cluster of momentum oscillators (MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) have crossed up, suggesting short-term upside pressure, while BOP, STOCH, KAMA, and MA crosses point lower. This divergence indicates indecision, and the weak 63% probability aligns with the conflicting signals. The broader trend is predominantly bearish across the 30m, 1h, 2h, and 12h timeframes, with the 12h showing a solid trend (3/5), which lends weight to the bearish bias. However, the 15m and 8h timeframes are bullish, adding counter-trend risk. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.28830 and support at 1.24530; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum, while a push above resistance would invalidate the downside thesis.

Given the weak strength and mixed signals, traders should treat this as a low-conviction short. The confluence of bearish trends on multiple timeframes supports the sell signal, but the recent upward crosses in momentum indicators could trigger a bounce toward resistance. The 12h solid downtrend is the strongest macro argument for selling, yet the 8h bullish trend and the choppy 4h action suggest the market may be range-bound. Patience is key: wait for a clear close below support or a rejection at resistance before committing to a short.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish trend alignment across multiple timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h, 12h).
▼ Solid 12h downtrend (3/5) provides macro bearish backdrop.
▼ BOP zero cross down and KAMA/MA retreats indicate selling pressure.
▼ Nearest support at 1.24530 offers a clear downside target if broken.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting momentum crosses (MACD, MOM, ROC up) could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Bullish trends on 15m and 8h may counter the bearish signal.
▲ Choppy 4h trend (1/5) suggests range-bound conditions, reducing trend reliability.
▲ A break above resistance at 1.28830 would invalidate the bearish setup.