AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-05 04:00 UTC 10 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

0.70131

Target

0.69541 +0.84 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70312 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down, HMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 14 % (2.74) ▼ Bearish 86 % (17.46)

model score 86.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.74
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.97
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.97
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.53
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.26

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish momentum and trend indicators on the 30-minute chart signals a strong sell opportunity.
Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the downside move.
Watch the 0.70012 support level – a break could accelerate selling, while a move above 0.70222 would weaken the bearish case.
The Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMA is a bullish signal, but the overwhelming bearish momentum suggests it may be losing relevance.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, AO Saucer Bearish, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, and SMI Signal Cross Down. This is a very strong confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators, all pointing to a sustained move lower. The signal is reinforced by the presence of a Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMA, which, while typically bullish, has been overridden by the sheer weight of bearish momentum signals, suggesting that the recent bullish crossover may have been a false or exhausted signal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes are bullish but with low trend scores (1-2/5), indicating weak, choppy bullish momentum. In contrast, the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes are all bearish, with the 4-hour timeframe showing a forming trend. This alignment of bearish pressure on the higher timeframes supports the sell signal, while the lower timeframe bullishness is likely to be a temporary pullback within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch are immediate resistance at 0.70222 and support at 0.70012. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overlapping bearish signals (DEMA, ALMA, HMA, AO, ER, KDJ, SMI) create strong confluence.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H and above) are aligned bearish, providing a tailwind.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with an 86% probability, indicating high conviction.
▼ The bearish momentum is consistent across several independent indicator families (trend, momentum, and oscillator).

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute through 2-hour timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the sell signal.
▲ The Golden Cross on the 50/200 EMA is a classic bullish signal that could attract buyers and stall the decline.
▲ If price breaks above the 0.70222 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated and a reversal higher becomes likely.
▲ The low trend scores on the bullish lower timeframes indicate weak momentum, but they could still produce a choppy, sideways trading range that tests patience.