ETH/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-05 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +7.78 %

Entry

2,416.13

Target

2,174.08 +10.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,526.62 −4.57 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.18 % per trade 1,080 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,080 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +3.92 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.24 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.53 % 21 % at stop avg −5.26 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, HMA Retreat Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % ↓ −7.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 25 % (5.36) ▼ Bearish 75 % (15.71)

model score 74.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 38.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,104 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 5h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 5h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.30
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.09
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 8H: RSX, HMA, Keltner, ZSCORE, and Spinning Top all align for a pullback.
But the broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Watch the nearest support at 2174.08; a break below would confirm bearish momentum.
Resistance at 2526.62 is the level to reclaim for bulls to invalidate the bearish setup.

The 8H chart has fired a confluence of bearish signals: RSX OB Entry, HMA Retreat Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, and a Spinning Top Bearish candlestick. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward move has reached an overbought extreme, with momentum beginning to fade. The ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price has deviated significantly from its mean, while the HMA Retreat Down and KELTNER Upper Retreat point to a pullback from upper bands. The Spinning Top adds a note of indecision, often preceding a reversal.

However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 1H and 12H showing solid trends (3/5 strength). This creates a conflict: the 8H signal is a counter-trend bearish setup within a larger uptrend. The nearest support at 2174.08 is a key level to watch; a break below that would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold could see the pullback absorbed and the uptrend resume. Resistance at 2526.62 is the immediate ceiling that bulls need to reclaim to negate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple independent indicators (RSX, HMA, Keltner, ZSCORE) all point to overbought conditions and a retreat.
▼ Spinning Top candlestick adds a classic reversal warning at a potential local top.
▼ Very strong signal strength (100% probability) increases the likelihood of at least a short-term pullback.
▼ The 8H timeframe is a higher timeframe for intraday traders, giving the signal more weight for swing moves.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframe trend (1H, 12H) is bullish, which could absorb the pullback and resume the uptrend.
▲ The nearest support at 2174.08 is far (about 14% below), leaving room for a shallow dip before strong buying interest.
▲ A break above the 2526.62 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum on lower timeframes (15m) is choppy, suggesting the pullback may be uneven or short-lived.