EUR/AUD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW
2 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.10 %
Entry
1.60437
Target
1.62660 +1.39 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.57746 −1.68 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (22.64) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/AUD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
  • TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.23
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.76
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▲ TRIX Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.43
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.41
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 1.23
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.15
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.13
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 4H chart with multiple zero-cross signals aligning.
  • Uptrend is forming on 4H and 8H, but lower timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are bearish, creating near-term headwinds.
  • Key resistance at 1.62660 is the immediate hurdle; support at 1.57746 is the invalidation zone.
  • The signal is high probability, but traders should watch for confirmation above resistance and monitor lower timeframe momentum.
The EUR/AUD 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 100% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The simultaneous zero-cross ups on MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD, and TRIX indicate a sharp shift in momentum, while the EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA retreats up confirm that price is pulling back to dynamic support and resuming the broader uptrend. This confluence of signals suggests that the recent pullback has ended and a new leg higher is underway on the 4H timeframe.

However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed. The 4H and 8H trends are bullish and forming, which aligns with the signal, but the 1H and 2H are bearish, and the 30M shows a solid bearish trend. This suggests that the immediate momentum is still against the signal, and the bullish move may need to overcome near-term resistance. The nearest resistance at 1.62660 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.57746 is the key level to watch. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish continuation, whereas a loss of support would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH KD, TRIX) all crossing zero up simultaneously, indicating strong bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Trend-following indicators (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) are retreating up, confirming that pullbacks are being bought.
  • ▲ 4H and 8H trends are bullish and forming, aligning with the signal direction.
  • ▲ High signal probability (100%) and very strong strength suggest a robust confluence of indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H) are bearish, which could delay or reverse the bullish move.
  • ▼ The 30M timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, indicating that immediate momentum is against the signal.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 1.62660, the bullish move may stall and lead to a pullback.
  • ▼ A close below support at 1.57746 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper correction.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62660 2026-10-15
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
S1 1.57746 2026-10-28

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