EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.17 %
Entry
1.12149
Target
1.11750 +0.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12682 −0.48 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, ALMA Break Down, T3 Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 14.0 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 769 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 9h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 9h
  • TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 95%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.89
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.65
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.62
▼ Momentum Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.28
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.93
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.92
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.68
▲ STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.60
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.59
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.52
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ Three Outside Down candlestick 1.30
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A Double Top pattern on the 1H chart is the primary bearish trigger, backed by multiple moving-average retreats and strong trend momentum.
  • The stochastic oversold exit suggests a minor bounce, but it is likely a pullback within the prevailing downtrend, not a reversal.
  • Watch the 1.12682 resistance level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are still bullish, so the bearish move may be a correction within a larger uptrend.
The 1H EUR/USD chart is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Double Top pattern and reinforced by multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA). The DX Trend Strong indicator confirms robust downside momentum, while the stochastic oscillators (STOCH and STOCHF) show a short-term oversold bounce (OS Exit and KD Cross Up) that is likely a pullback within the broader downtrend rather than a reversal. With 88% probability and very strong strength, the confluence of chart pattern, trend, and indicator signals points to continued selling pressure toward the nearest support at 1.12131.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but favors the bearish case on the lower and trading timeframes: 15m, 30m, and 1h are all bearish with solid or forming trends, while 2h is also bearish. However, the higher timeframes (4h through 1d) remain bullish, which introduces a potential conflict. The immediate resistance at 1.12682 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. As long as price respects this resistance, the path of least resistance is lower.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of bearish signals across chart pattern, trend, and indicator groups.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes support the immediate downside.
  • ▼ Proximity to the nearest resistance at 1.12682 provides a clear invalidation level and potential entry zone.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength (88% probability) increases confidence in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
  • ▲ The stochastic oversold exit and KD cross up indicate short-term buying pressure that could stall the decline.
  • ▲ A break above the 1.12682 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a rally.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is still 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not be as mature as on lower timeframes.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12682 2026-11-05
R2 1.12731 2026-11-04
S1 1.12131 2026-11-04
S2 1.11750 2026-11-03
S3 1.11365 2026-10-30

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