EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-05 02:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

1.12543

Target

1.12131 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.13571 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −18.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 38 % (4.09) ▼ Bearish 62 % (6.69)

model score 5.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 916 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.20
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on the 1H chart suggest a possible short-term pullback, but the broader trend remains bullish.
Key levels to watch: support at 1.12131 and resistance at 1.12731; a break of support confirms the sell signal, while a break above resistance invalidates it.
Mixed signals (MACD, CTI, RSX) indicate the bearish move may lack strong momentum and could be a temporary dip.
Higher timeframe trends (15m, 1d) are solidly bullish, so any sell should be considered counter-trend and managed with tight risk.

The EUR/USD 1H signal stack is dominated by bearish momentum triggers, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, and VORTEX Cross Down, alongside a Northern Doji candlestick pattern. These indicate that selling pressure is building on the intraday timeframe. However, the signal is weakened by the presence of MACD Signal Cross Up, CTI OB Entry, and RSX Midline Cross Up, which suggest that the bearish momentum may be premature or that the market is still in an overbought condition that could lead to a pullback rather than a sustained reversal.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 15-minute and daily charts, and trend-forming bullish structures on the 30-minute through 12-hour charts. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signal and the broader bullish context. The nearest resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.12131 define the immediate range. A break below support would validate the bearish signal, while a move above resistance would invalidate it. Given the weak strength and mixed signals, traders should treat this as a potential short-term correction within an overarching uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, HMA, ICHIMOKU, VORTEX) on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Northern Doji candlestick pattern adds a bearish reversal signal.
▼ Signal occurs near resistance, providing a potential rejection zone.
▼ Intraday bearish momentum may align with a short-term correction in the broader uptrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends are bullish, which could overpower the 1H bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ Weak signal strength (62%) and mixed indicators (MACD cross up, CTI overbought, RSX cross up) reduce confidence.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.12731, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade quickly given the choppy/sideways condition on the 30m timeframe.