EUR/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more
Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 5h
- TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day
- TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 1 day
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | APO Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.24 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.93 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is bullish.
- Key support at 1.12131 is the level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
- Resistance at 1.12731 is nearby; a close above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
- Signal strength is moderate, so expect limited downside unless support breaks.
However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. While the daily timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), the intraday and swing timeframes are only in a 'trend forming' phase with low scores (1-2/5), indicating that the bullish structure is not yet strong. This creates a conflict between the bearish short-term signals and the larger bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.12131 are key levels to watch; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while holding above resistance could invalidate the signal.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (APO, BOP, STOCHRSI, HMA) all pointing lower.
- ▼ Candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Bearish Harami Cross) reinforce the bearish momentum shift.
- ▼ Price is approaching resistance at 1.12731, where selling pressure is likely to increase.
- ▼ Moderate strength (66% probability) suggests a reasonable edge for a short-term move.
- ▲ The bullish trend across all higher timeframes could overpower the short-term bearish signals.
- ▲ If price holds above support and resumes upward, the bearish setup may fail quickly.
- ▲ Momentum indicators could be showing a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.
- ▲ A break above resistance at 1.12731 would invalidate the bearish thesis and likely trigger a rally.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.12731 | 2026-11-04 |
| S1 | 1.12131 | 2026-11-04 |
| S2 | 1.11839 | 2026-11-04 |
| S3 | 1.11750 | 2026-11-03 |