EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.19 %
Entry
1.12548
Target
1.12131 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.13049 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 5h
  • TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 45%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.55
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ APO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.24
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest a short-term pullback, but the broader trend is bullish.
  • Key support at 1.12131 is the level to watch; a break below would confirm the bearish move.
  • Resistance at 1.12731 is nearby; a close above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Signal strength is moderate, so expect limited downside unless support breaks.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and two candlestick patterns (Northern Doji and Bearish Harami Cross). These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and that a short-term pullback or reversal is likely. The confluence of momentum, volume, and candlestick patterns points to selling pressure building at the current price level.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes up to the daily chart. While the daily timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), the intraday and swing timeframes are only in a 'trend forming' phase with low scores (1-2/5), indicating that the bullish structure is not yet strong. This creates a conflict between the bearish short-term signals and the larger bullish trend. The nearest resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.12131 are key levels to watch; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while holding above resistance could invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (APO, BOP, STOCHRSI, HMA) all pointing lower.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns (Northern Doji, Bearish Harami Cross) reinforce the bearish momentum shift.
  • ▼ Price is approaching resistance at 1.12731, where selling pressure is likely to increase.
  • ▼ Moderate strength (66% probability) suggests a reasonable edge for a short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The bullish trend across all higher timeframes could overpower the short-term bearish signals.
  • ▲ If price holds above support and resumes upward, the bearish setup may fail quickly.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators could be showing a temporary pullback within a larger uptrend, not a reversal.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 1.12731 would invalidate the bearish thesis and likely trigger a rally.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 45%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12731 2026-11-04
S1 1.12131 2026-11-04
S2 1.11839 2026-11-04
S3 1.11750 2026-11-03

Tags

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