GBP/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-05 06:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %

Entry

1.34628

Target

1.32731 +1.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35678 −0.78 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.76) ▼ Bearish 96 % (42.68)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 668 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%in 10h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 10h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.32
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.99
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.88
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.34
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.30

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of overbought exit and momentum cross-down signals on the 8H chart points to a short-term bearish reversal.
The broader trend is bullish across higher timeframes, so this sell signal is counter-trend and may be limited in scope.
Key levels: resistance at 1.35678 and support at 1.32731; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
The signal has moderate strength with a 72% probability, but conflicting timeframes warrant caution.

The GBP/USD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, and KDJ Cross Down. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward push has exhausted its strength and that selling pressure is emerging. The signal points to a short-term reversal from overbought conditions, with the nearest resistance at 1.35678 acting as a ceiling and the nearest support at 1.32731 as the initial downside target.

However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with solid trends on the 4H and 8H charts and forming bullish trends on the 1H, 2H, 12H, and 1D. The bearish signal on the 8H is therefore a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend. The alignment is mixed: the lower timeframes (15m and 30m) are bearish, supporting the short-term sell, but the higher timeframes remain bullish, which could limit the downside. Traders should watch how price reacts at the support level—a break below 1.32731 would strengthen the bearish case, while a bounce could signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (RSI, CCI, WILLR) indicate stretched conditions ripe for a pullback.
▼ Momentum oscillators (STOCH, KDJ, ER) are crossing down, confirming waning upside momentum.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, aligning with the 8H signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.35678 is a clear ceiling that has held, providing a defined invalidation level.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, which could overwhelm the bearish signal and lead to a shallow pullback.
▲ The signal is counter-trend; if the bullish trend resumes, the sell could be quickly invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls above support, leading to a range-bound scenario.
▲ Watch for a break above the 1.35678 resistance—that would invalidate the bearish setup.