LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-05 00:30 UTC 3 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.74 %

Entry

0.00004184

Target

0.00004073 +2.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004243 −1.41 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.2 % ↑ +19.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 33 % (2.13) ▼ Bearish 67 % (4.37)

model score 67.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 01:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.85
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.29
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.20
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.19
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on the 30m chart, but higher timeframes are strongly bearish, suggesting the bounce is corrective.
Aroon and STC indicate short-term bullish momentum, but BOP and moving average retreats signal fading strength.
Key level at 0.00004 acts as both support and resistance; watch for a decisive break.
Overall trend across 4h to 1d is strongly bearish, aligning with the SELL signal.

The SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators, including an Aroon Cross Up, Aroon Strong Uptrend, and AroonOSC Zero Cross Up, which typically suggest bullish momentum. However, the Balance of Power (BOP) Zero Cross Down and the retreat of TEMA, ALMA, and HMA indicate that this bullish push is losing steam. The STC OB Entry further suggests overbought conditions, making a bearish reversal plausible. The signal's moderate strength and 70% probability reflect this mixed short-term picture.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is clearly bearish, with the 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts all showing strong to extremely strong downtrends. In contrast, the 15-minute to 2-hour timeframes are bullish but choppy and weak, with a trend score of only 1/5. This suggests that the recent upward movement is a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend. The key levels are tight: both nearest resistance and support are at 0.00004, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown. A failure to sustain above this level could see the price resume the broader bearish trend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend on higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the sell signal.
▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, TEMA, ALMA, HMA) show bearish momentum, confirming the reversal.
▼ STC overbought entry suggests limited upside potential.
▼ The 30m signal aligns with the dominant daily downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish, which could delay or invalidate the bearish move.
▲ The signal strength is only moderate, and the probability is 70%, leaving room for a false signal.
▲ Price is at a key level (0.00004) that may act as strong support, preventing a breakdown.
▲ If the bullish momentum persists and price breaks above resistance, the sell signal would be invalidated.