USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-05 01:00 UTC 2 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

1.39541

Target

1.39063 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40145 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, EMA Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 13 % (6.07) ▼ Bearish 87 % (40.63)

model score 87.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.75
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.51
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.33
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.20
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.09
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.87
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.87
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.63
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.57
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.74

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 1H timeframe with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
All timeframes show bearish bias, with the daily timeframe showing a solid trend, supporting the sell signal.
Key resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39296 are the critical levels to monitor.
The signal is very strong with a 91% probability, but be mindful of choppy conditions on lower timeframes.

The USD/CAD 1H signal is strongly bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The APO Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down all align to confirm downward momentum. Additionally, the DEMA and EMA break downs indicate that price has decisively moved below key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. The candlestick and indicator groups together suggest a robust selling opportunity.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, though the strength varies. The 1D timeframe shows a solid trend with a strength score of 3/5, providing a strong underlying bearish context. The 1H and 30M timeframes are choppy/sideways with a strength score of 1/5, indicating that the immediate momentum may be less decisive. However, the 15M, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are all bearish with trend forming or sideways, supporting the overall downward direction. The nearest resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39296 are key levels to watch; a break below support could extend the move, while a bounce off resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) are all confirming downward momentum.
▼ Trend strength indicator (DX) shows a strong trend, reinforcing the bearish move.
▼ DEMA and EMA break downs indicate price has moved below key moving averages, adding to bearish pressure.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with the daily timeframe showing a solid trend.

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 1H and 30M timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.40145 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ If momentum indicators start to diverge or flatten, the sell signal could lose strength.
▲ Watch for potential reversal patterns or support at 1.39296 that could halt the downward move.