USD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 06:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.63 %

Entry

1.39805

Target

1.40686 +0.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.58 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 346 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 346 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.67 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 779 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 10h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 10h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 10h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.80
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.20
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.11
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.08
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.96
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum cluster on the 8H chart, but higher timeframes are bearish.
Key resistance at 1.40686; a break above could signal a trend reversal.
Support at 1.39684 is the invalidation level for the bullish signal.
Mixed trend across timeframes suggests caution; watch for confirmation.

The USD/CAD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, KDJ Cross Up, and SMI Signal Cross Up. This confluence suggests a strong shift in buying pressure and a potential reversal from oversold conditions. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the alignment of these indicators.

However, the trend across timeframes is mixed: the 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish and forming, while the 2h to 8h timeframes are bearish and forming, and the 12h is bearish and choppy. The daily is bearish with a solid trend. This means the signal is firing against the higher timeframe trend, which typically reduces the reliability of the move. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is a critical level; a break above it would confirm the reversal, while a failure to hold above support at 1.39684 would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, TEMA, HT PHASOR, HT TRENDMODE, KDJ, SMI) all firing bullish simultaneously.
▲ Bullish trend forming on lower timeframes (15m-1h) supporting the signal.
▲ Potential oversold exit (CCI OS Exit) and momentum reversal (BOP Zero Cross Up).

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish (2h-1d), conflicting with the bullish signal.
▼ Daily trend is solidly bearish, suggesting the move may be a counter-trend bounce.
▼ Failure to break above 1.40686 could leave the pair range-bound or lead to a retest of support.
▼ Momentum could fade if price stalls near resistance, as seen in choppy 12H conditions.