AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.62 %

Entry

108.802

Target

111.564 +2.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

104.668 −3.80 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (4.09) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 615 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.08
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.93
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.90
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 12H chart, suggesting a potential reversal or bounce.
The broader trend remains bearish across most timeframes, so this may be a counter-trend move.
Watch the 111.56400 resistance as a key level for confirmation of bullish momentum.
A break below 108.63400 support would invalidate the bullish signal.

The AUD/JPY 12H chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and a KST Zero Cross Down, alongside retreats from lower bands on both ACCBANDS and KELTNER, plus a Bullish Harami Cross and Long Legged Doji. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick patterns suggests a potential bullish reversal or a bounce within a broader bearish trend. The KST Zero Cross Down is particularly notable as it indicates a shift in the medium-term momentum, while the BOP and stochastic cross-ups confirm buying pressure at current levels.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend and the 2H and 4H in solid downtrends. The 12H itself is only trend-forming bearish, which means the bullish signals may be counter-trend. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a key hurdle; a break above could signal a more sustained reversal, while failure to hold above it may see the pair resume its bearish path. The nearest support at 108.63400 is the critical level to watch for invalidation of the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick patterns (BOP, STOCHF, KST, ACCBANDS, KELTNER, Bullish Harami, Long Legged Doji) strengthens the bullish case.
▲ The KST Zero Cross Down indicates a potential shift in medium-term momentum from bearish to bullish.
▲ Retreats from lower bands on both ACCBANDS and KELTNER suggest oversold conditions and possible mean reversion.
▲ The Long Legged Doji and Bullish Harami Cross are classic reversal patterns that add weight to the signal.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are strongly bearish, which could overwhelm the 12H bullish signal.
▼ The signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, leading to limited upside.
▼ If the price fails to break above 111.56400 resistance, the bullish momentum could fade.
▼ A break below 108.63400 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.