AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 08:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

108.738

Target

111.131 +2.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

107.687 −0.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.29
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.11
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.02
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.01
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish indicators on the 1H chart suggests a short-term bounce, but it runs against a firmly bearish multi-timeframe trend.
The Bullish Harami and retreats in the ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower bands point to fading downside momentum and a possible reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 111.13100—a decisive break above it would confirm the bullish signal, while rejection could signal a continuation lower.
The signal is high-probability (86%) but counter-trend; treat it as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal stack is overwhelmingly bullish, with eight distinct triggers aligning to suggest a short-term upside move. The confluence of momentum and volatility indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up, and HMA Direction Up—points to renewed buying pressure, while the retreats in the ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower bands indicate that downside volatility is contracting, often a precursor to a bounce. The Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal confirmation at the current price level. However, the broader trend context is decidedly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30m and 1h trends rated as very strong bearish. This creates a tension between the immediate 1H signal and the prevailing downtrend, suggesting that the bullish move may be counter-trend or a corrective rally within a larger decline. The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is the immediate upside target; a break above this level would strengthen the bullish case, while a failure could see the pair resume its bearish path.

Catalysts

▲ Eight bullish signals firing together on the 1H timeframe, including momentum, volatility, and candlestick patterns, creates a strong confluence.
▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and TEMA Retreat Up indicate a shift in buying pressure and a pullback within the shorter-term structure.
▲ The Bullish Harami pattern is a classic reversal signal that adds weight to the bullish case at the current level.
▲ The retreats in the ACCBANDS and KELTNER lower bands suggest that downside volatility is exhausting, which often precedes a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 30m and 1H downtrends, could overwhelm the 1H bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is a clear overhead barrier; if the pair fails to break above it, the bullish move could stall and reverse.
▼ The bullish signal is counter-trend, so any negative news or a fresh wave of selling could invalidate the setup quickly.
▼ The 12H and 1D trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of a clear larger direction, which can lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.