AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
57 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.14 %
Entry
108.401
Target
108.191 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.131 −2.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +18 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping
▲ Bullish 9 % (6.13) ▼ Bearish 91 % (63.21)
model score 6.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYCurrent Account n.s.a.●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.41
▼ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.13
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.69
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.57
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.48
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.37
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.34
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.33
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.99
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.73
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.23
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▲ RSI OS Entry indicator 1.13
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.13
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.09
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.02
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.97
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.96

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30M timeframe with 22 signals confirming a sell-off.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes are choppy, so this may be a short-term move.
  • Resistance at 111.13100 is the key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Oversold indicators suggest a potential bounce, but the trend is still down until proven otherwise.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a MACD Signal Cross Down, with multiple oversold entries (RSI, WILLR) and a break below the lower Bollinger Band. The EMA Retreat Down and HT Trendline Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from resistance and aligning with a broader downtrend. The confluence of 22 signals across candlestick and indicator groups suggests strong selling pressure at the current level, with the nearest resistance at 111.13100 acting as a ceiling.

Trend alignment is overwhelmingly bearish across the lower timeframes, with 15m, 30m, and 1h all showing solid to very strong bearish trends (3-4/5). The 2h and 4h are also bearish but with weaker trend scores (2-3/5), indicating the momentum is more pronounced on the short-term horizon. The higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, which suggests the current sell-off may be a corrective move within a larger range rather than the start of a new major downtrend. Key levels to watch are the resistance at 111.13100, which should hold to keep the bearish bias intact, and any nearby support that could provide a bounce.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, MACD, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all pointing down.
  • ▼ EMA Retreat Down and HT Trendline Retreat Down confirm that price is pulling back from resistance.
  • ▼ Solid to very strong bearish trend scores on 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes.
  • ▼ Break below the lower Bollinger Band often signals continuation of the move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (RSI, WILLR) could trigger a short-term bounce, especially if price approaches support.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy or sideways, which may limit the downside.
  • ▲ A break back above the 111.13100 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the price stalls or forms a bullish reversal pattern near current levels.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.13100 2026-11-05
R2 111.30300 2026-11-04

Tags

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