AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-05 22:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.35 %

Entry

108.664

Target

107.378 +1.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −2.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 352 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 352 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.66 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.41 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, HT TRENDLINE Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −12.4 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Swing

▲ Bullish 12 % (3.36) ▼ Bearish 88 % (24.83)

model score 42.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.23
▼	Triple Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.77
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.63
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.61
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.50
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.46
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.31
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.16
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.79
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (Double Top, Triple Top, Death Cross) align on the 8H chart, indicating strong selling pressure.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are already in very strong bearish trends, supporting the 8H signal.
Key resistance at 111.56400 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish setup.
Nearest support at 108.63400 is the primary downside target, but higher timeframes are choppy, so watch for consolidation.

The AUD/JPY 8H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including Double Top and Triple Top chart patterns, along with multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and an EMA 20/50 Death Cross. The 8H trend is still forming (2/5), but the lower timeframes (15m through 1h) are already showing very strong bearish trends, indicating that selling pressure is building from the intraday level up. This alignment suggests the bearish momentum is likely to persist, with the nearest support at 108.63400 as the primary downside target.

However, the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the follow-through. The confluence of patterns and indicator breakdowns on the 8H timeframe, combined with strong short-term momentum, gives a high-probability setup. Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 111.56400 as a key invalidation level; a break above that would negate the bearish thesis. The overall trend structure remains bearish as long as price stays below this resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of chart patterns and indicator breakdowns on the 8H timeframe.
▼ Very strong bearish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes align with the 8H signal.
▼ EMA 20/50 Death Cross and multiple moving average breakdowns reinforce the bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are choppy/sideways, which could limit downside follow-through.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.56400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls near support without a clear breakdown, leading to a consolidation phase.

Symbol AUD/JPY

Timeframe 8H

Direction SELL

Conviction 42%

Strength WEAK

Date 2026-11-05 22:00

cat_ Forex Forex