AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.07 %
Entry
0.68770
Target
0.70246 +2.15 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68429 −0.50 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, CMO OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 5%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.96
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.89
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.83
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.48
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.27

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish oscillator signals suggests a short-term bounce from oversold conditions.
  • The dominant trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend move with limited upside.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70246; a break above could signal a stronger reversal.
  • Use tight risk management as the higher timeframe trend remains bearish.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish oscillator signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit. These signals collectively indicate that downside momentum has exhausted and a short-term bounce is likely. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with very strong downtrends on the 15-minute through 1-hour charts and solid bearish momentum on the 2-hour. The higher timeframes (4H and above) are still bearish but with weaker trend scores, suggesting the pullback could be corrective within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance sits at 0.70246, which is a key level to watch; a break above would signal a stronger reversal, while failure to hold gains could lead to renewed selling pressure. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with limited upside until price confirms a higher low or breaks above resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillator signals (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, WILLR, KDJ, SMI, ZSCORE) all align in the same bullish direction.
  • ▲ Extreme oversold readings across several indicators suggest high probability of a technical rebound.
  • ▲ The ZSCORE extreme low exit indicates price has moved far from its mean, often leading to mean reversion.
  • ▲ The 4H and 8H trend scores are only 'trend forming', leaving room for a corrective bounce without violating the larger structure.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The strong bearish trend on lower timeframes (15m-1h) could overwhelm the bullish signals, leading to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest support is not defined, so a break below the recent low would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade quickly if price fails to break above the 0.70246 resistance.
  • ▼ The bearish trend on the 2H and 4H charts may resume, making this a high-risk counter-trend trade.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 07:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70312 2026-11-02
R3 0.70408 2026-10-30

Tags

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