EUR/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.78 %

Entry

1.57241

Target

1.59614 +1.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.55521 −1.09 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 7h
07:00TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 7h
09:00November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.83
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.83
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.20
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators on the 4H chart points to a bullish reversal attempt.
The bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the solid bearish trends on the 12H and 1D timeframes.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.59614 and support at 1.55521 for confirmation or invalidation.
The higher timeframe bearish pressure remains a significant headwind for this long signal.

The EUR/CAD 4H signal fires a BUY with very strong conviction (88% probability) from a dense cluster of indicator-based triggers. The Aroon indicator has flipped from a strong downtrend, while the Balance of Power (BOP) zero cross up confirms buying pressure is taking over. The stochastic and stochastic RSI crosses, along with the retreats in the upper Bollinger Band and the DEMA, EMA, and HT Trendline retreats up, all point to a momentum shift to the upside after a period of consolidation. This confluence of signals suggests the pair is attempting to establish a higher low and begin a new upswing.

However, the higher timeframes tell a more cautious story. While the 1H to 8H timeframes are all bullish (albeit choppy/sideways), the 12H and 1D timeframes remain in solid bearish trends. This conflict means the current bullish signal is likely a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.59614 is the immediate hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case. Conversely, the nearest support at 1.55521 is the key invalidation level—if price falls below it, the bullish signal is negated.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple indicator signals firing simultaneously (Aroon, BOP, Stochastics, Bollinger Bands, DEMA/EMA).
▲ Bullish alignment across the 15m to 8H timeframes, even though choppy, supports the immediate upside move.
▲ The BOP zero cross up indicates real buying volume behind the move.
▲ The retreat up of the HT Trendline suggests the longer-term trend may be starting to turn.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are in solid bearish trends, which could cap any rally and lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The choppy/sideways nature of the lower timeframes (1/5 trend strength) suggests the bullish momentum may lack follow-through.
▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 1.59614 could trigger a pullback.
▼ A decisive break below the nearest support at 1.55521 would invalidate the bullish signal.