EUR/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.42 %

Entry

176.546

Target

175.073 +0.83 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.968 −0.81 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 8 % (3.10) ▼ Bearish 92 % (33.53)

model score 91.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 17h
19:30TomorrowEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 1 day
00:00November 13, 2026EUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.55
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.06
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicator signals (BOP, BBANDS, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, SMA50, BIAS) has fired on the 12H chart, pointing to strong selling momentum.
All timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish, with the strongest trend on the 1H (4/5), supporting the continuation of the downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.073. A break below support could extend losses, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
The signal carries a very strong probability (92%) and strength, indicating high conviction, but watch for choppy 15M action and potential consolidation near support.

The 12H chart for EUR/JPY has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all from the indicator group, including BOP Zero Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, and BIAS Zero Cross Down. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests a coordinated shift in selling pressure, with the price retreating from key moving averages and the balance of power turning negative. The bearish alignment extends across all monitored timeframes, from 15m to 1D, with the 1H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30M and 2H solid (3/5), while higher timeframes are still forming but bearish. This multi-timeframe consistency supports the continuation of the downtrend, though the lower timeframes (15M) show choppiness, indicating a need for patience.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.073. A sustained move below the support could open further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The very strong probability (92%) and strength underscore the conviction behind the signal, but traders should remain vigilant for any signs of reversal, especially if price action stalls near support or forms bullish patterns.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment (all timeframes bearish) reinforces the trend direction.
▼ Confluence of 10+ indicator signals from different categories (momentum, trend, volatility) increases the reliability of the signal.
▼ Strong trend scores on the 1H (4/5) and 30M/2H (3/5) suggest the bearish momentum is not just a short-term blip.
▼ The signal is firing on the 12H timeframe, which typically captures meaningful swings, and the high probability (92%) adds conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), which could lead to whipsaw price action and short-term bounces.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are only 'trend forming' (2/5), meaning the bearish trend is not yet fully established and could reverse.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 177.968 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum indicators like BOP and BIAS have already crossed down; if they start to flatten or turn up, it could signal fading downside momentum.