EUR/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 08:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.24 %

Entry

176.800

Target

178.482 +0.95 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.378 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), AO Saucer Bullish, CCI OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURCPI y/y●●●in 5h
07:00TodayEURCPI m/m●●●in 5h
09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.07
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.87
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.15
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.14
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is firing on the 1H with a rare confluence of eight signals, but the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish.
The Fibonacci break at the 24% level adds technical weight to the upside, but the 4H is choppy and not confirming.
Key levels: resistance at 178.48200 and support at 176.37800; a break of resistance could flip the short-term bias, while losing support invalidates the bullish setup.
The 100% probability score is extreme and should be viewed with skepticism—wait for price confirmation before committing.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and a BBANDS Lower Retreat Up, alongside an AO Saucer Bullish and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% level. This confluence suggests that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in, with the HMA Direction Up and TTM TREND Trend Up confirming an intraday shift in momentum. However, the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across all timeframes, with the 30m and 1h both showing solid downtrends, and the 4h choppy/sideways. This creates a conflicting backdrop: the bullish signals are strong on the 1H, but they are counter-trend relative to the broader picture.

Traders should watch the nearest resistance at 178.48200 as the immediate upside target and invalidation level for the bearish thesis; a close above this could signal a more significant reversal. Conversely, the nearest support at 176.37800 is the critical level to hold for the bullish setup to remain valid. The probability score of 100% is unusually high and should be treated with caution, as such extreme confidence often precedes a pullback or a failed breakout. The alignment of multiple oscillators and the Fibonacci break provide a strong short-term edge, but the overwhelming bearish trend on higher timeframes means this is likely a corrective bounce rather than a trend reversal unless the 1H resistance is decisively broken.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, AO) are all turning bullish simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ The BBANDS Lower Retreat Up and Fibonacci Break UpTrend suggest that price is bouncing off oversold conditions with a measured target.
▲ The 1H trend score is solid (3/5) and the HMA and TTM Trend are both pointing up, supporting a short-term bullish move.
▲ The proximity to the nearest support at 176.37800 provides a defined risk level for a long entry.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H bullish signal is counter to the dominant bearish trend across all other timeframes, making this a potential counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which can lead to false breakouts and whipsaws.
▼ The 100% probability score is a red flag; such extreme readings are often seen at turning points and can be unreliable.
▼ If the price fails to hold above 176.37800, the bullish setup is invalidated and the bearish trend could resume aggressively.