EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 08:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.46 %

Entry

1.11848

Target

1.12348 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11336 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SAR Flip Bullish, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +12 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 803 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURCPI m/m●●●in 6h
07:00TodayEURCPI y/y●●●in 6h
09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	2.04
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.78
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.38
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.32
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.91
▲	Bullish Separating Lines	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of oversold reversal signals has fired on the 30-minute chart, indicating strong short-term buying pressure.
The bounce is occurring within a mixed trend structure: lower timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes (daily) remain bullish, suggesting a potential correction within an uptrend.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.12348 and support at 1.11839; a break above resistance confirms bullish momentum, while a drop below support invalidates the signal.
The high probability (93%) and very strong strength reflect the confluence of multiple indicators, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting trend alignment.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of oversold-reversal signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI, CMO, RSI, and Williams %R exits from oversold territory, a Stochastic KD cross up, a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band, and a bullish SAR flip. Together, these indicate aggressive buying pressure is emerging after a sharp downward move, suggesting a short-term bounce is likely. The presence of candlestick patterns adds confluence, reinforcing the idea that sellers may be exhausting.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are bearish, the higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) show bullish tendencies, with the daily trend solidly bullish. This suggests the current pullback may be a correction within a larger uptrend, and the oversold bounce could be the start of a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12348 and support at 1.11839. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence from multiple oversold indicators (RSI, CCI, CMO, Williams %R) all exiting oversold conditions simultaneously.
▲ Bullish candlestick patterns add confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
▲ The daily timeframe is in a solid uptrend, suggesting the pullback may be a temporary correction within a larger bullish structure.
▲ The SAR flip to bullish and the retreat from the lower Bollinger Band indicate a shift in short-term momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bearish, which could mean the bounce is merely a retracement within a larger downtrend.
▼ If price fails to break above the nearest resistance at 1.12348, the bullish signal may lose momentum and reverse.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.11839 would invalidate the signal and could trigger further downside.
▼ The conflicting trend signals across timeframes (bearish short-term vs. bullish long-term) create uncertainty, and the signal could be a false start if the broader bearish pressure resumes.