NZD/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.42 %

Entry

0.55407

Target

0.54672 +1.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57104 −3.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 3 % (1.56) ▼ Bearish 97 % (55.85)

model score 97.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 6h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 21h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.73
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.68
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.65
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.65
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.63
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.53
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	SMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.30
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.42
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.34
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.05
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.98
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	0.90
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.63

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum with multiple trend-following indicators aligned.
Consistent bearish trend across timeframes, strongest on the 1H.
Key resistance at 0.57104; watch for a break below to confirm continuation.
Death Cross on SMA 20/50 adds weight to the bearish case.

The NZD/USD 12H signal is firmly bearish, backed by a strong 82% probability and a cluster of trend-following indicators. The AROON Strong Uptrend confirms downside momentum, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests short-term oversold conditions that may be resolving lower. The multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) all point to price pulling back from recent highs, and the MIDPRICE Break Down plus the SMA 20/50 Death Cross reinforce the bearish outlook. This confluence of moving average and price-based signals suggests sustained selling pressure.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent, with the 1H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 12H and 1D both solid (3/5). Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 2h) are also bearish, though the 15m, 4h, and 8h are still forming (2/5), indicating some early-stage momentum. The nearest resistance at 0.57104 is a key level to watch; a break below this could accelerate the decline, while a failure to hold might signal a reversal. Traders should monitor price action around this level.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (82%) and strong signal strength.
▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirm pullback.
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down and SMA 20/50 Death Cross signal sustained downtrend.
▼ Trend alignment across major timeframes (12H, 1D) supports bearish move.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up could indicate short-term oversold bounce.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 4h, 8h) show only trend forming (2/5), suggesting weak momentum.
▲ A break above resistance at 0.57104 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Watch for any bullish divergence or reversal candlestick patterns that could signal a shift.