USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.31 %
Entry
1.40685
Target
1.39427 +0.89 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.41948 −0.90 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 596 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 79%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.37
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.25
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.23
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.20
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.12
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPVery strong trend
1H
UPVery strong trend
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart suggests a short-term sell opportunity.
  • The nearest downside target is support at 1.39427; a break below could extend the move.
  • The 1H trend is bullish, so this is likely a counter-trend pullback, not a major reversal.
  • Watch the resistance at 1.40686: a move above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 1H USD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, a Closing Marubozu Bearish, and a cross-down on the KDJ indicator. This is reinforced by the BOP Zero Cross Down, which signals deteriorating buying pressure, and the ULTOSC OB Exit, indicating the oscillator is leaving overbought territory. The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band and the HMA Retreat Down further confirm a short-term pullback in momentum. Together, these signals point to a likely continuation lower in the near term.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 1H timeframe itself is bullish and very strong, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bullish, suggesting the bearish signals may be a counter-trend correction within an uptrend. The higher timeframes show a weak bullish trend (2h, 4h, 8h) and a choppy 12h, but the daily is bearish. This mix suggests the sell signal is best viewed as a short-term reversal opportunity, with the nearest support at 1.39427 as the primary downside target. A break below this level would confirm a deeper correction, while a move back above the nearest resistance at 1.40686 would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple confirming signals: candlestick patterns (Bearish Engulfing, Closing Marubozu Bearish) and indicator crossovers (KDJ, BOP, ULTOSC, HMA).
  • ▼ The retreat from the upper Bollinger Band indicates a rejection at elevated levels.
  • ▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, providing longer-term alignment with the sell signal.
  • ▼ Strong signal probability (75%) and strong strength rating.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H trend is bullish and very strong, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a rebound.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are also bullish, suggesting the sell signal may be premature.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.39427, the bearish move could stall and reverse.
  • ▲ A close above resistance at 1.40686 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 79%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40686 2026-10-28
S1 1.39427 2026-11-05
S2 1.39296 2026-11-04

Tags

Similar Signals