USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.52 %
Entry
0.81724
Target
0.81326 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82152 −0.52 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.72
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.65
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.64
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.64

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart align with a broader downtrend on higher timeframes.
  • The short-term bullish pullback appears to be losing steam, with sellers stepping back in.
  • Watch for a move toward support at 0.81326; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • A close above resistance at 0.81855 would negate the bearish signal.
  • The signal's probability is moderate (62%) and strength is weak, so position sizing should be cautious.
The 30-minute USD/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Belt Hold Bearish candlestick, a BOP zero-line cross down, CCI exiting overbought, a stochastic cross down, and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band. This confluence indicates that the recent short-term bounce is losing momentum and that selling pressure is reasserting itself. The EMA 200 retreat down and the ERI bearish zero cross up further confirm that the prevailing bearish bias on the medium-term timeframes is filtering down to the lower timeframe.

While the 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still labeled bullish but choppy, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are all bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid trends. This suggests that the short-term bullish pullback is likely a correction within a larger downtrend, and the current sell signal may be the start of a resumption of the bearish move. The nearest support at 0.81326 is the immediate downside target, while a break below that could open the door to further declines. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 0.81855 is the key level to watch; a close above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend alignment from 1H up to 8H, with 4H and 8H showing solid trends.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, EMA, ERI) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation.
  • ▼ The squeeze indicator firing suggests a potential breakout, which in this context is likely to the downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M and 30M trends are still bullish, so the immediate momentum could still be upward.
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak and probability is only 62%, so the edge is limited.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.81855, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways nature of several timeframes could lead to false signals and whipsaws.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.81855 2026-11-05
R2 0.81859 2026-11-04
R3 0.82152 2026-11-04
S1 0.81326 2026-11-05
S2 0.81274 2026-11-04

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