USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 10:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.06 %

Entry

158.264

Target

157.255 +0.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.674 −0.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.66
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.30
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.67
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align for a short-term selloff.
The Golden Cross is likely a late signal; momentum is fading (KDJ OB exit, ZSCORE extreme-high exit).
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the downside bias.
Key levels: resistance at 158.50400, support at 157.25500.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Stochastic KD cross down, an HT Phasor in-phase cross down, an HMA retreat down, a ZLMA break down, and a Fibonacci break down (24% trend). While a Golden Cross (SMA 20/50) is technically a bullish signal, its placement alongside the KDJ OB exit and ZSCORE extreme-high exit suggests the move may be overextended, with the cross likely acting as a late confirmation of momentum exhaustion rather than a fresh bullish impulse. The confluence of these indicators points to a short-term selloff, with the nearest support at 157.25500 as the primary downside target.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 15-minute through 1-hour charts are bullish but only trend-forming (2/5 strength), while the 2-hour through daily timeframes are all bearish and choppy/sideways (1/5). This suggests that the current bullish momentum on lower timeframes is weak and likely to be overridden by the broader bearish bias. The Fibonacci break down, with a 24% trend, adds weight to the downside, indicating that the pair has already started to retrace a larger move. Traders should watch the 158.50400 resistance as the invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup, while a break below 157.25500 would open the door for further declines.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals: STOCH KD cross down, HT Phasor cross down, HMA retreat, ZLMA break down.
▼ Fibonacci break down (24% trend) adds technical weight to the bearish case.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (2H to 1D) is bearish, aligning with the 30-minute signal.
▼ Overbought conditions (KDJ OB exit, ZSCORE extreme-high exit) suggest a pullback is due.

Risk Factors

▲ The Golden Cross (SMA 20/50) is a bullish signal that could indicate underlying strength, potentially stalling the decline.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are still bullish, though weak; a push above 158.50400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The bearish higher timeframe trend is choppy/sideways (1/5 strength), meaning momentum is not robust and the selloff could be shallow.
▲ Watch for a failure to break below 157.25500; a bounce from support would suggest the bearish signal is fading.