AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY 13× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.61 %

Entry

0.97124

Target

0.97969 +0.87 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.96490 −0.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, TRIMA Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 13h
13:30TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 1 day
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.0%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 13× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.50
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.19
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.01
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.95
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	0.95
▲	Above The Stomach	candlestick	0.95
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.85
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum cluster on the 1H suggests a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch the 0.97969 resistance; a break above could extend the bounce, while losing 0.96490 support invalidates the setup.
The signal is a counter-trend long within a broader downtrend, so position size should reflect the higher risk.
Momentum indicators (RSI, STOCH, CMO, BOP) all flipped up, but ADX is weak, indicating the new trend is not yet strong.

The AUD/CAD 1H signal is strongly bullish (92% probability, very strong), driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators flipping upward simultaneously: ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, KAMA Retreat Up, and MA Retreat Up, plus additional signals. This suggests a sharp short-term reversal attempt from oversold conditions, with the price likely reclaiming key moving averages and momentum baselines. However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 4H, 8H, and 12H, and only a weak trend forming on the 15M and 2H. The bullish bias is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a confirmed trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.97969 and support at 0.96490. A sustained move above resistance would signal that the bounce has legs and could challenge higher bearish structure, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the broader downtrend. Given the conflicting timeframes, traders should treat this as a tactical long with tight risk management, ideally waiting for confirmation on the 1H close above the middle Bollinger Band and MA, and watching for momentum to hold above the RSI midline.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (RSI, STOCH, CMO, BOP) crossing their midlines simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ Price reclaiming the middle Bollinger Band and key moving averages (MA, KAMA) on the 1H, suggesting a shift in short-term bias.
▲ The signal probability is very high (92%) with very strong strength, reflecting a rare confluence of indicators.
▲ A cluster of candlestick and indicator signals firing together often marks a turning point, especially after a downtrend.

Risk Factors

▼ The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes (15M to 1D), so the bullish signal is counter-trend and could be a mere retracement.
▼ ADX is weak, meaning the new uptrend lacks momentum and could easily stall or reverse.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.96490 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 0.97969 is nearby and could cap the bounce, especially if the higher timeframe downtrend resumes.