AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 20:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %

Entry

0.97774

Target

0.96490 +1.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98006 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,109 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,109 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.43 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 22h
13:30November 16, 2026CADCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 3 days
13:30November 16, 2026CADCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.73
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.49
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.22

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish indicators on the 2H chart suggests a potential sell-off, but the higher-timeframe bullish trend (up to 4H) creates conflicting signals.
The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, but the 15m-4H are bullish, so watch for a possible bounce.
Key levels: support at 0.96490 and resistance at 0.98006; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
The Long Legged Doji and CHOP Trending indicate indecision and a trending market, respectively, so volatility may increase.

The AUD/CAD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and a Long Legged Doji, with CHOP confirming a trending regime. This suggests that the recent bullish momentum on the lower timeframes is losing steam and that a pullback or reversal is likely in the 2H timeframe.

However, the trend structure is mixed: the 15m through 4H timeframes are bullish, while the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish. The 2H itself is only mildly bullish and choppy, which weakens the conviction of the sell signal. The nearest support is at 0.96490, while resistance sits at 0.98006. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a failure to hold below current levels could see a retest of resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment of multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA 200, ER, HMA) all pointing down on the 2H timeframe.
▼ The presence of a Long Legged Doji suggests a potential reversal from the recent bullish move.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop that supports the sell signal.
▼ CHOP Trending indicates that the market is in a trending phase, which can amplify the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m through 4H timeframes are bullish, which could counteract the sell signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 2H trend is only mildly bullish and choppy, so the bearish signals may be premature.
▲ If price holds above the nearest support at 0.96490, the sell signal could fail and price might rally toward resistance at 0.98006.
▲ The signal probability is 71% but strength is only moderate, so the move may lack momentum.