AUD/JPY – 1D – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.48 %
Entry
109.364
Target
114.956 +5.11 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.634 −0.67 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 7,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.19 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.20 % 12 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +14% Position
▲ Bullish 91 % (19.57) ▼ Bearish 9 % (1.93)
model score 91.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 856 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 3 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 3 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 91%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.99
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.93
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.86
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.59
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.45
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.29
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 1.11
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.03

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish oscillator signals and a Belt Hold Bullish candlestick on the daily chart suggest a short-term bounce.
  • Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal with limited upside potential.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 114.95600; a break above could signal a stronger reversal, while support at 108.63400 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal is strong (82% probability) but conflicts with the daily bearish bias, so risk management is crucial.
The AUD/JPY daily chart has triggered a confluence of bullish signals, including a Belt Hold Bullish candlestick pattern, a BOP Zero Cross Up, and multiple oscillator signals (STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, CTI OS Entry) that collectively point to a strong short-term reversal attempt. The QQE Midline Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit further suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and a bounce is likely. However, the higher timeframes (2H through 12H) are in solid bearish trends, while the 1D itself is bearish and choppy, meaning this daily signal is a counter-trend move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 114.95600, which caps the upside, and the nearest support at 108.63400, which serves as the invalidation zone. The bullish signal is strongest on the lower timeframes (15m and 30m) where trends are forming, but the conflicting bearish structure on the 4H and 8H suggests that any rally may be limited. Traders should monitor whether price can hold above the support and push through resistance to confirm a larger reversal, or if the higher-timeframe downtrend resumes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (STOCHF, WILLR, CTI) are exiting oversold conditions, indicating a momentum shift.
  • ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggest buying pressure is emerging from extreme lows.
  • ▲ The Belt Hold Bullish candlestick is a classic reversal pattern that adds confluence to the signal.
  • ▲ Lower timeframe trends (15m, 30m) are forming bullish, which may support a short-term push higher.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4H and 8H timeframes are in solid bearish trends, which could overwhelm the daily bullish signal.
  • ▼ The daily trend is bearish and choppy, so the signal may be a mere pullback within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 108.63400, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 114.95600 is a significant barrier; a rejection there could lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-08 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 108.63400 2026-10-15

Tags

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