AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.11 %
Entry
109.217
Target
111.131 +1.75 %
closes in profit
Stop
108.237 −0.90 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +15 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 803 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 12%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.38
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.38
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.35
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.07
▲ ZLMA Break Up indicator 2.02
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.01
▲ MACD Zero Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ AROON Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ AROONOSC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.45
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.27
▲ TSI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.20
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.19
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.13
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.10
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart, confirmed by multiple indicators and candlestick patterns.
  • The bullish trend is only visible on lower timeframes; higher timeframes (2H-1D) remain bearish.
  • Watch the 109.24900 resistance and 108.23700 support for direction.
  • Treat this as a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so manage risk tightly.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by an AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend, with MACD Zero Cross Up and multiple moving-average retreats confirming upward momentum. The signal strength is very strong (97% probability), and the convergence of indicator and candlestick patterns suggests a short-term bullish push. However, the bullish momentum is confined to the lower timeframes; the 15m, 30m, and 1h trends are bullish (though only forming or choppy), while the 2H through 1D trends remain bearish and solid. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate price action is turning up, but the broader trend is still down.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 109.24900 and support at 108.23700. A break above resistance would signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish setup. Given the higher timeframe bearish trend, any upside may be limited, and traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger downtrend. The signal's high probability reflects the strength of the 1H momentum, but the conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Dense cluster of bullish signals on 1H: AROON Cross Up, MACD Zero Cross Up, and DEMA/EMA retreats all align.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (97%) and high probability indicate robust momentum.
  • ▲ Bullish trend forming on 15m, 30m, and 1H, suggesting a fresh upward push.
  • ▲ Candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator-based signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are in a solid bearish trend, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ The 30m and 1D trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction.
  • ▼ A break below 108.23700 support would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to break 109.24900 resistance, leading to a pullback.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-09 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 109.24900 2026-11-09
R2 111.13100 2026-11-05
R3 111.30300 2026-11-04
S1 108.23700 2026-11-06

Tags

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