AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
11 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
108.971
Target
108.397 +0.53 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.249 −0.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down, TEMA Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 5 % (1.84) ▼ Bearish 95 % (38.36)
model score 95.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 11h
  • TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 11h
  • TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 12h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.92
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.72
▼ TEMA Break Down indicator 2.61
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.92
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.84
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.28
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.28
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.13
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.99

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A broad cluster of momentum indicators (APO, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossed below zero, signaling strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
  • The bearish signal aligns with solid downtrends on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes, reinforcing the sell bias.
  • Watch the nearest support at 108.39700; a break below could open further downside, while resistance at 109.24900 is the key level to invalidate the bearish view.
  • Despite the strong signal, the 30-minute trend is still labeled bullish and choppy, so caution is advised for confirmation.
The 30-minute AUD/JPY chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, including APO, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crosses downward, a break below the Bollinger Bands middle band, and a TEMA breakdown. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current timeframe, with a very strong signal strength and a 95% probability rating. The immediate bearish momentum is supported by the broader trend structure, as the 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, and 8-hour timeframes all show solid bearish trends, while the 15-minute and daily timeframes are also bearish but choppier. The 30-minute trend itself is labeled bullish but choppy, which may reflect a recent pullback that is now reversing. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 109.24900, which could act as a ceiling if price retraces, and the nearest support at 108.39700, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would confirm further downside, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple zero-line crosses (APO, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) provide a strong confluence of bearish momentum signals.
  • ▼ The TEMA break down and the Bollinger Bands middle band break add technical confirmation of downward pressure.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H) are all in solid bearish trends, aligning with the 30-minute sell signal.
  • ▼ The signal's very strong strength and 95% probability rating indicate high conviction in the bearish move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30-minute trend is currently labeled bullish and choppy, which could mean the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a larger consolidation.
  • ▲ The 15-minute and daily trends are only weakly bearish and choppy, suggesting a lack of strong momentum on those timeframes.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 109.24900, the bearish signal would be invalidated and a reversal could occur.
  • ▲ Momentum signals can fade quickly in choppy markets; watch for a loss of downside momentum or a bounce off support.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-09 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 109.24900 2026-11-09
R2 111.13100 2026-11-05
R3 111.30300 2026-11-04
S1 108.39700 2026-11-06
S2 108.23700 2026-11-06

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