EUR/CAD – 12H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-08 22:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.19 %

Entry

1.57581

Target

1.61385 +2.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.55521 −1.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Break Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −8.5 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 64 % (10.85) ▼ Bearish 36 % (6.07)

model score 37.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar

09:00TodayEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 5h
13:30TodayCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 10h
19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.98
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.81
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.60
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.57
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong cluster of bullish signals has fired on the 12H chart, including a Stochastics cross up and a break above the upper Bollinger Band.
The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 1.61385; a break above this level would confirm bullish momentum.
The higher timeframes (12H and 1D) remain bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal—proceed with caution.
The nearest support at 1.55521 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.

The EUR/CAD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Stochastics Fast KD cross up, a break above the upper Bollinger Band, and retreat-up confirmations across multiple moving-average families (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA price, and midpoint). This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to strong buying pressure on the 12H timeframe, with the signal probability rated at 100% and very strong strength. The immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 1.61385; a sustained break above this level would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path toward higher targets.

However, the higher-timeframe trend remains bearish: the 1D shows a solid downtrend (3/5) and the 12H itself is still classified as bearish (trend forming, 2/5). The bullish signals are therefore occurring against the larger trend, which raises the risk of a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal. The nearest support at 1.55521 is a critical level—if price falls below this, the bullish signals would be invalidated and the dominant downtrend would likely resume. Traders should watch for confirmation on the 4H and 1D timeframes before committing to long positions.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retreat-up signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, midpoint) align on the 12H chart, indicating broad-based bullish momentum.
▲ The Stochastics Fast KD cross up and the upper Bollinger Band break both confirm strong upward pressure.
▲ The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, suggesting high conviction in the setup.
▲ The 15M timeframe is already showing a forming bullish trend, which could lead the higher timeframes.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), which could overpower the 12H bullish signals.
▼ The 12H timeframe itself is still classified as bearish, meaning the bullish signals may be a counter-trend bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.61385, the bullish momentum could fade and lead to a pullback toward support.
▼ A close below 1.55521 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the larger downtrend.