SOL/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.44 %

Entry

87.470

Target

98.140 +12.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

85.090 −2.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,163 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,163 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, STOCHF KD Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +28.1 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (3.38) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.5 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,561 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for SOL/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.76
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.27

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H buy signal is a counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish market.
Momentum indicators are turning up from oversold, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Key resistance at 98.14000 is the immediate hurdle; a break above could signal a deeper reversal.
Watch for a rejection at resistance to confirm the bearish trend remains intact.

The SOL/USDT 4H signal is a buy, driven by a cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the RSI OS Exit and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest that the recent oversold conditions are reversing. The ER Level Cross Down and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down point to a potential shift in trend dynamics, and the KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat suggests price is bouncing off the lower band. Together, these signals point to a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend.

However, the higher timeframe trend is firmly bearish, with solid trends on the 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts. This creates a conflict: the 4H buy signal is counter-trend, and the nearest resistance at 98.14000 is a key barrier. The bullish momentum may be limited to a retracement, and a failure to break above resistance could see the bearish trend resume. Traders should watch for a close above resistance to confirm a stronger reversal, or a rejection that would invalidate the buy signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCHF) are aligning to signal a bullish reversal.
▲ Price retreating from the Keltner lower band suggests a mean-reversion bounce is underway.
▲ The 4H trend is only 'trend forming' (2/5), leaving room for a shift to bullish.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all in solid bearish trends, which could overwhelm the 4H bounce.
▼ Nearest resistance at 98.14000 is a major barrier; a failure to break above it would invalidate the bullish case.
▼ The signal strength is only moderate (69% probability), indicating limited conviction.
▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low, the buy signal would be negated and the bearish trend could accelerate.