USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %

Entry

157.963

Target

157.255 +0.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.768 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,060 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,060 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA Cross Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +44% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (40.28)

model score 8.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.41
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.80
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.76
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.66
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.70

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: trendline break, BOP zero cross, and multiple moving-average retreats align on the 2H chart.
All timeframes are bearish, but higher timeframes (1H and above) show only weak trend scores, suggesting a possible choppy decline.
Watch the broken trendline and resistance at 158.76800 for a retest; a rejection there would reinforce the sell signal.
Immediate downside target is support at 157.25500; a break below could open further downside, but watch for a bounce there.

The USD/JPY 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, led by a Trendline Break Down and a BOP Zero Cross Down, supported by multiple moving-average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) and a STOCHRSI bearish cross. The confluence of trendline, indicator, and Fibonacci groups points to a breakdown in the 2H structure, with price now trading below the broken trendline. The broader trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1D, although most higher timeframes show only a weak, choppy trend score (1/5), which tempers the conviction of a sustained move.

Key levels to monitor: the nearest resistance at 158.76800, which now serves as a retest zone for the broken trendline, and the nearest support at 157.25500, which is the immediate downside target. A successful retest of resistance and rejection would confirm the bearish bias, while a decisive break above resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong signal strength and 94% probability, the bias is firmly bearish, but traders should be aware that the higher-timeframe trend is not yet solid, so the move may be choppy.

Catalysts

▼ High signal strength (94%) with a very strong rating, indicating robust alignment of multiple indicator groups.
▼ Trendline Break Down combined with BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI bearish cross provides a multi-faceted bearish confluence.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, even if weak on higher timeframes, supports the overall downward bias.
▼ Fibonacci group signals add potential confluence, suggesting the move may respect key retracement levels.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) show only choppy/sideways trend scores (1/5), which could limit the sustainability of the move.
▲ A retest of the broken trendline/resistance at 158.76800 could fail and lead to a reversal if price closes back above.
▲ Fading momentum in the 15m/30m trend scores (3/5 and 2/5) may indicate the initial push is losing steam.
▲ If price breaks above 158.76800, the bearish setup is invalidated and a short squeeze could occur.