AUD/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.49 %
Entry
0.97364
Target
0.96380 +1.01 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99067 −1.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 374 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 374 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.67 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.41 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.44 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 10 % (3.66) ▼ Bearish 90 % (33.63)
model score 90.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
AUD/CAD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 7h
  • November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 3 days
  • November 16, 2026CADCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.0%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 8h 90%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.34
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.29
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.81
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.22
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.13
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.10

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 8H chart, led by a trendline break and multiple momentum crossovers.
  • All timeframes show bearish alignment, with solid trends on 15m, 8H, and 12H.
  • Key resistance to watch is 0.99067; a break below current levels could accelerate the decline.
  • Choppy action on 1H and 2H suggests possible consolidation before the next leg lower.
A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the 8H chart for AUD/CAD, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by momentum oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) all crossing below their midlines or exiting overbought conditions. The BBANDS middle band and EMA 50 retreat confirm that the prevailing downtrend is accelerating, with price now trading below key dynamic support levels. The confluence of trendline, candlestick, and indicator signals points to strong selling pressure, and the very strong signal strength (90% probability) suggests the move is well-supported.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though conviction varies. The 15m, 8H, and 12H charts show solid trends (3/5), while the 1H and 2H are choppy and sideways, indicating some near-term consolidation. The 4H and 1D are forming bearish trends, aligning with the larger picture. With nearest resistance at 0.99067, a break below current levels could open the path toward lower supports, but traders should watch for any failure to sustain downside momentum, especially given the lack of a defined support level.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline break down confirms a shift in structure, supported by multiple indicator crossovers.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on higher timeframes (8H, 12H).
  • ▼ EMA 50 retreat and BBANDS middle cross down reinforce the bearish momentum.
  • ▼ High signal probability (90%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 1H and 2H could lead to false breakouts or range-bound price action.
  • ▲ No defined support level below current price means downside targets are unclear, increasing the risk of a sharp reversal.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.99067 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens and could signal a false breakdown.
  • ▲ Momentum oscillators are already low; further downside may be limited if oversold conditions develop.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99067 2026-10-28
R2 0.99757 2026-10-09
R3 1.00125 2026-09-22

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