AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-10 12:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.34 %

Entry

109.226

Target

108.237 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 4 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (36.53)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.55
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of 12+ bearish indicators on the 1H timeframe signals strong selling momentum.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 4H to 12H charts.
Watch the nearest support at 108.23700; a break below could extend the downside.
The resistance at 109.24900 is the key invalidation level; a reclaim would negate the bearish setup.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, alongside additional candlestick and indicator signals. This confluence points to a strong, broad-based selling pressure building on the 1H timeframe, with the RSI crossing below its midline and the Williams %R entering oversold territory, suggesting that downside momentum is not only present but accelerating. The probability is rated at 96% with very strong strength, reflecting a high degree of alignment among the signals.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, though the strength varies: the 15m to 1h timeframes are choppy and sideways (1/5), while the 2h shows a forming trend (2/5), and the 4h, 8h, and 12h show solid trends (3/5). This indicates that the bearish momentum is more established on higher timeframes, lending support to the 1H signal. The daily timeframe is choppy, which could introduce some noise, but the overall alignment remains bearish. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 109.24900 and support at 108.23700. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, RSI, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS) all firing in the same direction.
▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, with solid bearish trends on 4H, 8H, and 12H.
▼ RSI crossing below the midline and Williams %R in oversold territory confirm strong bearish momentum.
▼ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) based on historical performance of similar setups.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and lower timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ The daily timeframe shows only a weak bearish trend, suggesting that the larger context is not fully aligned.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 109.24900, the bearish signal would be invalidated and a reversal could occur.
▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR OS Entry) may lead to a short-term bounce, slowing the downside move.