AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-10 02:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %

Entry

109.370

Target

108.696 +0.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −1.61 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP q/q●●●Forecast 0.0%Previous 0.4%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 3 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.45
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.97
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.92
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.08
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and a BOP zero cross down point to fading upside momentum.
The bearish trend on 4H and 8H timeframes aligns with the sell signal, but lower timeframes are still bullish and choppy.
Watch the nearest support at 108.69600; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while resistance at 111.13100 caps upside.
The signal is moderate strength with a 65% probability, so consider using prudent risk management.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, TEMA Retreat Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up. This confluence indicates that the recent upside momentum is fading and that price is likely to retrace or reverse lower from overbought conditions. The signal is supported by a broader bearish trend on the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, with the 4H and 8H showing solid trends (3/5 strength). However, the 30M and 1H timeframes are still bullish, albeit choppy, which suggests that the immediate downside may be limited and that the move could be part of a larger correction rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 111.13100 and the nearest support at 108.69600. A break below the support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a failure to hold below the 30M EMA 200 could signal that the pullback has ended. The overall trend alignment across multiple timeframes supports the bearish case, but the conflicting bullish bias on the lower timeframes warrants caution. Traders should watch for price action around these levels and for any signs of momentum exhaustion on the higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple oscillator exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) indicating overbought conditions.
▼ Bearish trend across 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, with 4H and 8H showing solid trends.
▼ EMA 200 and TEMA retreats down suggest that price is pulling back from key moving averages.
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up may indicate a shift in the dominant cycle, supporting a reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a choppy consolidation.
▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 108.69600, the bearish signal may lose momentum and reverse.
▲ The 15M timeframe is bearish but choppy, suggesting that the move could be erratic and prone to whipsaws.
▲ A break back above the 30M EMA 200 or resistance at 111.13100 would invalidate the bearish setup.