AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
5 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.58 %
Entry
109.327
Target
108.696 +0.58 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.131 −1.65 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,319 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,319 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 5 days
  • November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.54
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.47
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.35
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 2.00
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.34
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.21
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.08
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 0.88
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal cluster on AUD/JPY 30M with strong confluence from indicators and candlesticks.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to 12H) are in solid downtrends, supporting the bearish bias.
  • Key levels: resistance at 109.47400, support at 109.24000; a break below support confirms downside.
  • Watch for choppy conditions on lower timeframes and the bullish 1H bias as potential headwinds.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by APO and BOP zero-line crossovers and a series of moving-average retreats (EMA 200, DEMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) plus a trendline retreat. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum and a clear rejection from resistance levels. The bearish stance is supported by the broader timeframe structure: the 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all show solid downtrends (trend scores of 3/5), while the 15M and 30M are bearish but choppy. However, the 1H chart is still bullish and choppy, which could create a short-term conflict, but the overall alignment favors the downside.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 109.47400 and support at 109.24000. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and likely extend the move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the setup. Given the very strong probability (88%) and the number of signals, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should be cautious of the choppy conditions on the lower timeframes and the conflicting 1H bias. The high signal density and multi-timeframe alignment provide a robust case for a short, but risk management is essential given the potential for whipsaws.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple zero-cross and retreat signals align, showing strong bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Solid downtrends on 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes provide a strong trend backdrop.
  • ▼ Price is likely rejecting from resistance, with support nearby to target.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1H timeframe is still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15M and 30M may cause false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price reclaims resistance at 109.47400, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the lower-timeframe trend scores remain weak (1/5).
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 11:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 109.47400 2026-11-10
R2 111.13100 2026-11-05
R3 111.30300 2026-11-04
S1 109.24000 2026-11-10
S2 108.69600 2026-11-09
S3 108.39700 2026-11-06

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