AUD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW
11 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
0.68662
Target
0.69309 +0.94 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.67786 −1.28 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,060 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,060 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, RSI OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 78 % (12.88) ▼ Bearish 22 % (3.73)
model score 77.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 2.40
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.67
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.55
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.37
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.17
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.15
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.10
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.03
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.93
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.78

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 2H chart, indicating a potential bounce from oversold conditions.
  • The overall trend across all timeframes is bearish, so this is a counter-trend bounce, not a reversal.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.69309 for upside potential; a break above could extend the bounce.
  • The nearest support at 0.68542 is the invalidation level—if price falls below, the bullish signal is void.
The AUD/USD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI and KDJ exits from oversold territory, a STOCH KD Cross Up, and a WILLR oversold exit. This suggests that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are beginning to step in at the 2H level. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 15m and 30m showing very strong and solid downtrends respectively, while the 2H and 4H trends are only forming. This creates a conflicting picture: the bullish signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, not a reversal signal. The nearest resistance at 0.69309 is the immediate upside target and a key level to watch; a break above it could signal a stronger correction, while failure to hold above it would keep the bearish bias intact. The nearest support at 0.68542 is the invalidation level for this bounce—if price falls below it, the bullish signal is negated and the downtrend resumes.

Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a bearish trend, with a clear invalidation level. The confluence of multiple oversold exits and momentum crossovers increases the probability of a bounce, but the lack of trend alignment across higher timeframes and the strong bearish trend on the 15m and 30m suggest that upside may be limited. The signal's high probability (77%) and strong strength are based on the clustering of indicators, but they do not override the dominant bearish trend. Therefore, position sizing should be conservative, and stops should be placed below the nearest support to manage risk. The key is to watch whether price can reclaim the 2H bearish trend or if the bounce fades at resistance.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exits (RSI, KDJ, WILLR) and momentum crossovers (STOCH, KST, RSX) align, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
  • ▲ The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is overtaking selling pressure, supporting the bullish move.
  • ▲ The signal strength is strong and probability is high (77%), reflecting a robust confluence of indicators.
  • ▲ The 2H and 4H trends are only forming, leaving room for a corrective bounce within the larger bearish structure.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes could overwhelm the bounce, leading to a quick fade.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m show very strong bearish trends, which may exert downward pressure on the pair.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 0.69309, the bounce could stall and reverse.
  • ▼ A break below support at 0.68542 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 78%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-10 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.69309 2026-11-09
R2 0.70246 2026-11-05
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.68542 2026-11-06

Tags

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