AVAX/USDT – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −2.57 %
Entry
8.3760
Target
7.1690 +14.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
12.0080 −43.36 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 crypto 1d signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 442 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 442 closed crypto 1d signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +6.71 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +5.28 % 28 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −5.81 % 19 % at stop avg −7.97 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 1d signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, TRIMA Retreat Down, MOM Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
38.0 % ↓ −29.1 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 6 % (1.17) ▼ Bearish 94 % (19.61)
model score 10.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AVAX/USDT  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 10h
  • TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 12h
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 14h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ TRIMA Retreat Down indicator 1.95
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.74
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 1.43
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.17

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum is confirmed across multiple oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) with a very strong 94% probability signal.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) align bearish, while lower timeframes show only weak bullish attempts.
  • Key resistance at 12.00800 must hold to keep the bearish bias; a break above would invalidate the signal.
  • Support at 7.16900 is the immediate downside objective, with a break below signaling further weakness.
The AVA/XUSDT 1D signal has fired a strongly bearish cluster of momentum and trend indicators, with a 94% probability and very strong strength. The ADX Trend Weak reading suggests the prevailing downtrend lacks strong directional momentum, but the simultaneous Zero Cross Downs on BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR indicate a broad-based loss of buying pressure and a decisive shift toward bearish momentum. The EMA 50 Retreat Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm that key moving averages are rolling over, while the BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up suggests volatility is compressing near the lower band, often a precursor to a continuation move lower.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher frames: the 4H, 8H, and 12H charts all show bearish trend formation, and the 1D is bearish but choppy. In contrast, the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bullish, though weak and forming, indicating that any near-term bounce is likely to be shallow and capped by resistance. The nearest resistance at 12.00800 is a critical level to watch; a failure to reclaim it would reinforce the bearish setup. The nearest support at 7.16900 remains the primary downside target, but a break below that would open deeper losses.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing below zero, signaling sustained selling pressure.
  • ▼ EMA 50 and KAMA retreating downward, confirming bearish trend alignment on the daily chart.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend scores (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, supporting the daily signal.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down indicates that volume is favoring sellers.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ ADX Trend Weak suggests the downtrend lacks strong directional momentum, which could lead to a choppy or sideways move rather than a clean decline.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bullish, which could fuel a short-term bounce toward resistance.
  • ▲ A daily close above 12.00800 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ Volatility compression near the lower Bollinger Band may lead to a sharp bounce if support at 7.16900 holds.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-10 00:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 12.00800 2026-09-29
S1 7.16900 2026-09-16

Tags

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