DOGE/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-10 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.12 %

Entry

0.06804

Target

0.07834 +15.14 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.06588 −3.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 2,215 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,215 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.56 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 22 % at stop avg −3.64 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↓ −8.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 81 % (10.54) ▼ Bearish 19 % (2.42)

model score 8.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.3 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 39.0 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,222 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for DOGE/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 10h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 11h
17:00TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 00:03 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.68
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.92
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.59

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bullish signals on the 4H suggests a strong short-term bounce, but it is a counter-trend move within a dominant bearish structure.
The nearest resistance at 0.07834 is the critical level; a break above could extend the rebound, while rejection would likely resume the downtrend.
The absence of a clear support level increases downside risk, so position sizing and stop placement are crucial.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H) are strongly bearish, so any long trade should be viewed as tactical and short-term.

The 4H chart for DOG/EUSDT has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, and a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. This confluence of momentum, volatility, and price-action indicators suggests a strong short-term bounce off oversold conditions. However, the broader trend across multiple timeframes remains firmly bearish, with the 2H and 4H showing very strong downtrends (4/5). The bullish signals are therefore best interpreted as a counter-trend rebound within a larger downtrend, not a reversal of the primary trend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.07834. A sustained move above this level could signal a stronger correction, but failure to break it would likely see the bounce fade and the downtrend resume. The lack of a defined nearest support adds uncertainty, as there is no clear downside reference point. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, understanding that the higher-timeframe trend is against them.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS, HMA, ZSCORE) align to signal an oversold bounce.
▲ A Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern confirms buying pressure at the current level.
▲ The extreme low ZSCORE exit suggests price has deviated significantly from its mean, increasing the likelihood of a mean-reversion move.
▲ The confluence of signals on the 4H timeframe adds conviction to the immediate bullish setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend on the 2H, 4H, and higher timeframes is bearish, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.07834 may cap upside and trigger renewed selling.
▼ Momentum from the oversold bounce could fade quickly, especially if the 4H trend score remains very strong bearish.
▼ The lack of a defined support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing uncertainty.