ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-10 16:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.43 %

Entry

2,044.66

Target

2,450.00 +19.82 %

closes in profit

Stop

1,994.38 −2.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,163 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,163 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↓ −3.3 vs previous candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 86 % (10.11) ▼ Bearish 14 % (1.64)

model score 86.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.8 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 43.5 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 4,561 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 20:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.28

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum oscillators are turning up on the 4H, suggesting a short-term bounce.
All timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend signal, not a reversal.
The nearest resistance at 2450 is the key upside target and likely rejection zone.
No support level is defined, so downside risk is open if the bounce fails.

The 4H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish momentum signals: a BOP Zero Cross Up, a CMO oversold exit, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, and an HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up. These indicators suggest that selling pressure is waning and that a short-term bounce may be underway. However, the broader trend context is overwhelmingly bearish, with all timeframes from 15m to 1d showing bearish alignment, including an extremely strong trend on the 2H and a very strong trend on the 4H. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the signals are firing into a dominant downtrend, which typically means the bounce is likely to be corrective rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance is at 2450.00, which is the immediate upside target and a likely rejection zone. There is no defined support level, which means downside risk is open if the bounce fails. The confluence of multiple momentum oscillators turning up suggests near-term buying interest, but the strength of the higher-timeframe downtrend argues for caution. Traders should treat this as a potential short-term long opportunity, with a clear invalidation level if the price fails to hold above recent lows. The alignment of the signals is strong, but the trend context is the dominant factor.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of four momentum signals (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, HT PHASOR) all turning bullish simultaneously.
▲ Oversold exit on CMO suggests selling pressure may be exhausted, supporting a bounce.
▲ Strong signal strength (very strong) and high probability (100%) indicate robust indicator alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ Dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, with extremely strong trend on 2H, likely to overpower the bounce.
▼ Resistance at 2450 is close, limiting upside potential; rejection there could resume the downtrend.
▼ No support level defined, so a failure of the bounce could lead to sharp downside moves.
▼ Counter-trend signals are often unreliable; watch for price to stall or reverse before resistance.